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commentary · [1 source] · · 中文(ZH) 中金:美联储年内或难以降息
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CICC: US Fed unlikely to cut rates this year amid inflation concerns

A recent report from CICC suggests that the US Federal Reserve may not be able to cut interest rates this year due to persistent inflation and a stable job market. Inflation is expected to remain above the Fed's 2% target, with PCE inflation projected above 3.5% and core PCE above 3%. This cautious stance from the Fed could impact the storage chip sector, which is currently experiencing a boom driven by AI computing power demand and rising domestic production rates. The storage chip sector has seen significant gains, with the Wind storage concept index rising nearly 4% recently. AI

Summary written by gemini-2.5-flash-lite from 1 source. How we write summaries →

IMPACT AI computing power demand is a key driver for the storage chip market's current boom, indicating a significant impact on hardware infrastructure.

RANK_REASON The cluster contains an analysis report from CICC regarding potential US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and its impact on the storage chip market, which is not a direct event but an analysis of economic factors.

Read on 36氪 (36Kr) →

COVERAGE [1]

  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    CICC: Fed unlikely to cut rates this year

    36氪获悉,中金公司最新研报指出,近期多项美国通胀数据超预期,就业市场则趋于稳定。债券出现抛售,市场对通胀的担忧持续升温。与此同时,美伊和平谈判未见实质性进展,霍尔木兹海峡仍处于事实封闭状态,能源价格上行风险难以消退。基准情形下,中金预计美国PCE通胀全年或将维持在3.5%以上,核心PCE通胀将在3%以上,均显著高于美联储2%的政策目标。在此背景下,美联储政策立场将转为更加审慎的方向,年内或难以进一步降息(此前预计下一次降息在第四季度)。