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AI models predict at-risk students using digital learning traces

Researchers have investigated the generalizability of predictive models designed to identify at-risk students in higher education using digital learning traces. By analyzing data from undergraduate computer science courses at two universities, the study found that behaviors related to self-regulated learning, such as time management and sustained engagement, were strong predictors of student risk. While models could predict at-risk students early within courses, their performance decreased when applied across different institutions, especially when base rates of at-risk students varied. AI

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IMPACT Highlights the challenges in generalizing educational AI models across different institutional contexts, suggesting caution is needed when applying predictive analytics.

RANK_REASON This is a research paper published on arXiv concerning predictive modeling in education.

Read on arXiv cs.LG →

COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 · Jakob Schwerter, Loreen Sabel, Judith Bose, Matthew L. Bernacki, Di Xu, Marko Schmellenkamp, Thomas Zeume, Philipp Doebler ·

    Cross-Course Generalizability of SRL-Aligned Predictive Models Using Digital Learning Traces

    arXiv:2604.22812v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: STEM dropout rates remain high at universities, particularly in computer science programs with theory-intensive courses. Digital learning environments now capture rich behavioral data that could help identify struggling students e…